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Local bookmaker Chris Benest might not be taking bets this election, having recently shut his shop in St. Peter, but he has still run a book.
Although working at racecourses in the UK for the last 10 days, he’s not across the last-minute moves and rumours, Chris has past form on calling the right odds.
Here, Chris shares his odds with Express for Election '22 poll toppers in each district and parish.
Comments in brackets are Chris’s personal thoughts...
2 / 5 - Carolyn Labey
6 / 4 - Steve Luce
12 /1 - Rose Binet
25 /1 - Philip Le Claire
25/ 1 - Piers Sangan
500 /1 - Guy de Faye (“the time waster in this district”)
1 /5 - Steve Pallet (“certain to top the poll”)
6 / 1 - Moz Scott (“she did well in the last Senatorial election”)
10 /1 - Jonathan Renouf
10/1 - Steve Bailey
10 / 1 - Montfort Tadier
12/ 1 - James Corbett
20 / 1 - Helen Miles
50 /1 - Nigel Jones
50 /1 - Karl Busch
10/ 11 - Sir Philip Bailhache (“the thing only against him is his age”)
10/ 11 - Sir Mark Boleat (“it’s neck-and-neck with Sir Philip; the thing in Sir Mark’s favour is that people want to see a new face and some fresh ideas”)
10 /1 - Lindsay Ash
40 / 1 - Alex Curtis
66/ 1 - Karen Wilson
100 /1 - Barbara Ward
500 / 1 - Ken Addison
6 /4 - Rob Ward
5 /2 - Carina Alves
8/1 - Lindsay Feltham
12/1 Chris Tanguy (“he’ll pick up the most non-Reform votes”)
12 /1 - Neil Kilbey
12 /1 - Geoff Southern (“with the slight boundary changes, he’s lost some of his hardcore supporters and is the Reform candidate most likely to fall here”)
20 /1 - Julie Wallman
33 /1 - Catherine Curtis
50 / 1 John Baker
4 / 5 - Mary Le Hegarat
11 /10 - Steve Ahier
9 /2 - Phil Romeril
6/1 - Inna Gardiner
12 /1 - Trevor Pointon (“He’s always been Reform in disguise but at least he’s showing his true colours now”)
33/1 - Max Andrews
50 / 1 - Ted Vibert
1/10 - Sam Mezec
8 /1 - Judy Martin
12/1 - David Warr
16 /1 Russell Labey (“he’ll be blamed for the horrible voting system we have now”)
16 /1 - Tom Coles
50 /1 - Jo Luce
200 / 1 - Bernie Manning
250 / 1 - Angela Jeune
250 / 1 - Chris Hopkins
500 /1 - Beatriz Porée
1000 /1 - Nick Le Cornu
6 /4 - Kirsten Morel
5 /2 John Le Fondré
5 /2 Gregory Guida (“The top three are safe”)
6/1 - Hugh Raymond
8 /1 - Elaine Miller
10/1 - Hilary Jeune
12/1 - Andy Howell
16 /1 - Mary Venturini
4/ 5 - Kristina Moore
1 /1 - Ian Gorst
12 /1 - Rowland Huelin (“if he keeps 75% of the St. Peter vote from last time, Lucy Stephenson and Lyndon Farnham have a lot of ground to catch up”)
16 /1 - Lucy Stephenson (“the clandestine Better Way may turn off voters”)
16/ 1 - Lyndon Farnham (the fiasco with the Royal Yacht during covid may work against him”)
100 /1 - Helen Evans (“if not a member of Reform, she would do well”)
250 / 1 - David Benn
2 /5 - Philip Ozouf
7 /4 - Tom Binet
10 /1 - Jeremy Macon (“I think he’ll come in; people will consider he’s been hard done by”)
14/ 1 - Kevin Pamplin
25 /1 - Malcolm Ferey
25 /1 - Louise Doublet (“I think she’s in trouble”)
66 /1 - Sophie Walton
100 /1 - Lee Cornick
100/ 1 - Mary O’Keefe
250 / 1 - Raluca Kovacs
500 / 1 - Suzanne Webb
500 / 1 - Jonathan Channing
10 / 11 - Mark Labey
10 / 11 - Sarah Howard
1 / 5 - David Johnson
3 /1 Mike Fennell
1 /5 - Simon Crowcroft
66 / 1 Mark Le Chevalier
1/500 Deidre Mezbourian
66 /1 - Emily Joseph
“The most interesting thing will be turnout. I don’t think people have taken to the new districts or party politics.”
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