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Local bookmaker shares election odds

Local bookmaker shares election odds

Tuesday 21 June 2022

Local bookmaker shares election odds

Tuesday 21 June 2022


Local bookmaker Chris Benest might not be taking bets this election, having recently shut his shop in St. Peter, but he has still run a book.

Although working at racecourses in the UK for the last 10 days, he’s not across the last-minute moves and rumours, Chris has past form on calling the right odds.

Here, Chris shares his odds with Express for Election '22 poll toppers in each district and parish.

Comments in brackets are Chris’s personal thoughts...

Deputy elections

Grouville and St. Martin 

2 / 5 - Carolyn Labey

6 / 4 - Steve Luce

12 /1 - Rose Binet

25 /1 - Philip Le Claire

25/ 1 - Piers Sangan

500 /1 - Guy de Faye (“the time waster in this district”)

St. Brelade

1 /5 - Steve Pallet (“certain to top the poll”)

6 / 1 - Moz Scott (“she did well in the last Senatorial election”)

10 /1 - Jonathan Renouf

10/1 - Steve Bailey

10 / 1 - Montfort Tadier

12/ 1 - James Corbett

20 / 1 - Helen Miles

50 /1 - Nigel Jones

50 /1 - Karl Busch

St. Clement

10/ 11 - Sir Philip Bailhache (“the thing only against him is his age”) 

10/ 11 - Sir Mark Boleat (“it’s neck-and-neck with Sir Philip; the thing in Sir Mark’s favour is that people want to see a new face and some fresh ideas”)

10 /1 - Lindsay Ash

40 / 1 - Alex Curtis

66/ 1 - Karen Wilson

100 /1 - Barbara Ward

500 / 1 - Ken Addison

St. Helier Central

6 /4 - Rob Ward

5 /2 - Carina Alves

8/1 - Lindsay Feltham

12/1 Chris Tanguy (“he’ll pick up the most non-Reform votes”)

12 /1 - Neil Kilbey

12 /1 - Geoff Southern (“with the slight boundary changes, he’s lost some of his hardcore supporters and is the Reform candidate most likely to fall here”)

20 /1 - Julie Wallman 

33 /1 - Catherine Curtis 

50 / 1 John Baker

St. Helier North

4 / 5 - Mary Le Hegarat

11 /10 - Steve Ahier

9 /2 - Phil Romeril

6/1 - Inna Gardiner

12 /1 - Trevor Pointon (“He’s always been Reform in disguise but at least he’s showing his true colours now”)

33/1 - Max Andrews

50 / 1 - Ted Vibert

St. Helier South

1/10 - Sam Mezec

8 /1 - Judy Martin

12/1 - David Warr

16 /1 Russell Labey (“he’ll be blamed for the horrible voting system we have now”)

16 /1 - Tom Coles

50 /1 - Jo Luce

200 / 1 - Bernie Manning

250 / 1 - Angela Jeune

250 / 1 - Chris Hopkins

500 /1 - Beatriz Porée

1000 /1 - Nick Le Cornu

St. John, St. Lawrence and Trinity

6 /4 - Kirsten Morel

5 /2 John Le Fondré

5 /2 Gregory Guida (“The top three are safe”)

6/1 - Hugh Raymond

8 /1 - Elaine Miller

10/1 - Hilary Jeune

12/1 - Andy Howell

16 /1 - Mary Venturini

St. Ouen, St. Peter and St. Mary

4/ 5 - Kristina Moore

1 /1 - Ian Gorst

12 /1 - Rowland Huelin (“if he keeps 75% of the St. Peter vote from last time, Lucy Stephenson and Lyndon Farnham have a lot of ground to catch up”)

16 /1 - Lucy Stephenson (“the clandestine Better Way may turn off voters”)

16/ 1 - Lyndon Farnham (the fiasco with the Royal Yacht during covid may work against him”)

100 /1 - Helen Evans (“if not a member of Reform, she would do well”)

250 / 1 - David Benn

St. Saviour

2 /5 - Philip Ozouf

7 /4 - Tom Binet

10 /1 - Jeremy Macon (“I think he’ll come in; people will consider he’s been hard done by”)

14/ 1 - Kevin Pamplin

25 /1 - Malcolm Ferey

25 /1 - Louise Doublet (“I think she’s in trouble”)

66 /1 - Sophie Walton

100 /1 - Lee Cornick

100/ 1 - Mary O’Keefe

250 / 1 - Raluca Kovacs

500 / 1 -  Suzanne Webb

500 / 1 - Jonathan Channing


Constables

Grouville

10 / 11 - Mark Labey

10 / 11 - Sarah Howard

St. Mary

1 / 5 - David Johnson 

3 /1 Mike Fennell 

St. Helier

1 /5 - Simon Crowcroft

66 / 1 Mark Le Chevalier

St. Lawrence

1/500 Deidre Mezbourian

66 /1 - Emily Joseph


One last thought...

“The most interesting thing will be turnout. I don’t think people have taken to the new districts or party politics.”

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Comments

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Posted by Scott Mills on
Wouldn't bet on any of them with my last nicker!!! Can anyone remember why ozouf is standing again, I thought/remembered him leaving the states (been shown the door) with his tail between his legs, and now he's back in contention. This is really moving forward with the times. I can't wait to see the beaches for the last time, and for a long time.
Posted by Charlie Mourant on
A fabulous idea.
Posted by Jon Jon on
Some he probably has right,I don’t see Raymond getting in,his fiasco of not attending states sitting due to some chamber lunch? Not the best in a Trinity for sure,Macon really? Martin really? Looking forward to seeing who does get in.
Posted by Sarah Ferguson on
The appalling thing is the anonymous keyboard warrior in St Brelade. If you are non of the aboveing a candidate then you should have the guts to actually say who you are. This anonymous approach is an act of sheer cowardice. if you feel like this - why dont you stand for election?
Posted by Sarah Ferguson on
Sadly only one of the candidates has actually knocked on my door - what do the rest think they are doing? Too many believe that they don’t need to do this. Guess who gets my vote!!!
Posted by Jon Jon on
Well Sarah your lucky you had one,I'm even luckier and had none for St Lawrence,John and Trinity.I'm glad as the usual response is either Yes to get rid of them,I'll think about a vote for you ,again a sweet reply or no I'm certainly not voting so stop wasting my time.This time round its no vote for anyone!
Posted by Keith Marsh on
It is no wonder that many people do not vote. Out of 7 Deputies and 2 Constables up for election ~ ONE person knocked on our door.
Contestants IF you can't be bothered ~ Why should we ?
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